Except for Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, none of the five candidates running in the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) presidential primary are likely to win outright, according to researcher, financial economist, and chartered accountant Dr. Evans Duah.
Dr. Duah claims that although the race is still tight, data from his ongoing research indicates that Kennedy Agyapong will be the only contender to reach the critical 50-plus-one level needed to win the primaries outright.
On Wednesday, January 28, he said on Channel One TV’s The Point of View, “A lot of people are missing the strategy and, if you ask me confidently, none of the five candidates will cross that 50+1 on Saturday. And if anyone does, it will be Hon. Kennedy Ohene Agyapong. I stand by this, and it is based on data.”
Dr. Duah clarified that his evaluation is based on both current interactions on the ground and empirical facts.
He revealed that last week he toured throughout the middle belt and other areas, meeting party delegates at random to assess the party’s mood.
“What is happening on the ground is that, from a strategy and intelligence point of view, there is a lot of social media cosmetic campaigning going on,” he stated, noting that such online presence does not always convert into delegate support.
His remarks are consistent with the results of a recent national study he carried out on the NPP presidential primaries. The study sampled 40,988 delegates over the course of three survey waves, encompassing all 16 areas; 31,556 of the replies were validated.
Kennedy Agyapong was the front-runner with 52.59 percent of delegate support, ahead of former Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia, who received 36.24 percent, according to the poll’s last wave, which applied a best-case allocation of undecided votes.
Source: newsthemegh.com