Source: newsthemegh.com
Vice President Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia is predicted to win the special delegates elections of the ruling New Patriotic Party (NPP) with 72.6% according to a special delegates-based survey performed by Outcomes International Ghana and the Center for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK.
Following Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia are Alan Kyeremanten (7.7%), Ken Agyapong (4.3%), Kwabena Agyepong (1.8%), and Dr. Owusu Akoto (0.6%).
The combined votes for the other 5 candidates total 1.3%, with 11.7% of voters still undecided.
Outcomes International Ghana and Centre for Sustainable African Development Initiatives (C-SADI) UK collaborated to conduct a survey to identify the five candidates most likely to be selected for the November 4, 2023, NPP Presidential Primary based on the results of the campaigns of the various candidates in the NPP Special Delegates election.
The study also investigated additional socio-demographic elements that could affect the outcome of the election on August 26.
For instance, how ethnicity, region, and religion affect candidates’ chances of being successful as well as the criteria used by delegates to judge a candidate’s suitability.
Using an anticipated 300 NPP special delegates as the target demographic of the 961 electors in the Electoral College, the survey was conducted in all 16 regions of the nation.
To lower the cost of the survey’s operation and provide a more accurate representation of the nation, the study used multistage probability proportional to size sampling (PPS) with implicit stratification. The majority of the data was collected using CATI (computer-assisted telephone interviewing) technology.
Sample size distribution by region: 11 special voters in Upper West, 17, in Upper East, 15, in North East, 19, in Northern, 17, in Savannah, 19, in Bono East, 14, in Ahafo, 11, in Ashanti, and 29, in Eastern.
29 people from the Greater Accra region, 19 from Central Ghana, 19 from Western Ghana, 15 from Western North Ghana, 11 from Oti, and 19 from Volta.
The types of respondents who were interviewed are broken down as follows: There are 143 constituency chairs, 103 members of the regional executive, 33 members of parliament, 9 members of the council of elders, 8 members of the national council, 1 member of the card-carrying ministers, and 143 constituency chairs.